Perhaps the most convincing presentation of Mike Lindell’s Cyber Symposium was the one given by Seth Keshel. Keshel is a former American Army Captain and works as an analyst. He was a military intelligence officer. And his numbers are numbers The Iowa Standard has shared in the past, however, Keshel made a much deeper dive.
He first shared the following map of every county in the United States and shaded them based on whether there was none or little fraud, suspected or moderate fraud, or rampant or high fraud.
He put together 10 points that he believes makes it extremely likely that the 2020 Presidential Election was fraudulent.
Point 1: Bellwether counties have historically proven to be high indicators of the final election outcome, Keshel said.
Keshel highlighted each of the 19 bellwether counties. The 19 counties had been perfect since 1980. President Donald J. Trump won 18 of the 19, with the lone exception being Clallam County in Washington State.
These include multiple counties in Michigan and Wisconsin as well.
Point 2: Bellwether states have also historically been a strong indicator for the winner of the presidential election. Among these — Ohio. Ohio has predicted the winner every time but for two elections since 1896.
However, an even stronger indicator is what happens when a candidate wins Ohio, Iowa, Florida and North Carolina. It has happened 13 times in history — never has that candidate lost. Never.
Point 3: Another strong indicator is the share of primary vote for the incumbent. Keshel said it is a key indicator of an incumbent’s strength.
Four presidents have lost re-election since 1912. Here is the share of the primary vote they received:
Herbert Hoover 36 percent (1932)
Gerald Ford 53.3 percent (1976)
Jimmy Carter 51.1 percent (1980)
George H.W. Bush 72.8 percent (1992)
Some of the biggest electoral landslides resulted with presidents who had an extremely large share of the primary vote.
Dwight Eisenhower 85.9 percent (1956)
Richard Nixon 86.9 percent (1972)
Ronald Reagan 98.9 percent (1984)
President Trump received 94 percent of the primary vote. No sitting president since 1912 had received more than 72.8 percent of the primary vote and lost.
“This is your enthusiasm number,” Keshel said.
On the flip side, Keshel pointed to Joe Biden’s performance in the Democrat primaries. He asked how Biden did in Iowa, New Hampshire and Nevada.
“He was almost at the bottom of the pile,” Keshel said. “And his running mate didn’t even make it to the Iowa Caucuses.”
Point 4: Since 1892, no incumbent has gained votes while losing re-election. President Trump gained 11 million more votes in 2020.
Only two presidents gained more votes than President Trump did. Richard Nixon experienced a significant increase, but Keshel noted that was due to a significant third party challenge in 1968.
George W. Bush gained votes in 2004 after a 2000 election in which turnout was “historically low,” Keshel said.
Three presidents — Franklin Roosevelt (twice) and Barack Obama — lost votes but were still re-elected.
Point 5: Voter registration trends have been the “most accurate” predictor of elections Keshel said. The polarization of the country has created huge issues with polling, but voter registration trends tend to tell an election’s trajectory.
In Pennsylvania, Keshel said in general in the four years preceding a presidential election, the party that makes gains is the party that performs best in the election.
In essence, a Republican state with more Republican registration becomes more Republican and vice versa.
“Almost without fail,” he said.
Keshel highlighted the trends with working-class voters since Obama became President. It isn’t good for Democrats.
From 2016-2020, there were 242,000 net new Republican registrations in Pennsylvania. There were 12,000 Democrat registrations.
That’s a 21:1 ratio.
Keshel said this suggests a “massive Republican blowout.”
He highlighted four Pennsylvania counties — York, Butler, Luzerne and Westmoreland. Keshel said according to the numbers, there were 50,000 net new Republicans and minus-11,000 Democrat registration. Keshel said it is estimated that Biden received 68,000 excess votes in the four counties.
In the image below, you can see how things should have gone based on voter registration trends (that’s the blue line with the arrow at the end of it). However, the spike in the blue lines show the result of the vote in 2020.
This is important to understand because of the way Pennsylvania’s results were reported. And, he added, Pennsylvania and Michigan move hand-in-hand. The two states have trended perfectly together without fail since 1932.
Here is the graph from Michigan:
In 2008, Democrats were at their peak in the rust belt — or the industrial Midwest. But beginning in 2012, those voters began to leave the Democrat Party. They did not, however, rush to the Republican Party as Mitt Romney failed to connect.
But, when Trump arrived, the Republican vote share “took off.”
Luzerne County, by the way, is the Pennsylvania bellwether county. Trump won all four of those Pennsylvania counties, but by smaller margins than expected.
Back to Michigan. The Democrats received 300,000 fewer votes in 2012. Another 300,000 voters left chose someone other than the Democrat in 2016.
And in 2016, Trump was able to earn enough of those votes tow in the state.
In 2020, Trump won 400,000 more votes in Michigan. In the last election, he gained less than half of that number and it was enough to flip the state.
And, after consecutive presidential elections in which Democrats experienced 300,000-vote departures (600,000 total), Biden experienced a 500,000-vote increase while Trump experienced the 400,000-vote increase.
Keshel speculated this may be why the Michigan Attorney General is threatening anyone in the state who questions the presidential election results.
He specifically highlighted Macomb County in Michigan. It’s a county won by President Bush in 2004. Obama then enjoyed success. Those folks put Trump in the White House in 2016.
“The people that put Donald Trump in the White House in 2016 voted for Obama two times,” he said. “People didn’t understand that.”
He believes Macomb County is in desperate need of an audit.
Point 6: U.S. House elections are also a strong indicator of what to expect in a presidential election.
“Landslide elections should also upset the balance of the House in favor of the new President,” Keshel said.
In 1980, Reagan won the popular vote by 9.7 percent and the GOP gained 34 seats. In 1984, Reagan won the popular vote by 18.2 percent and the GOP gained 16 seats. In 2008, Obama won the popular vote by 7.2 percent and the Democrats gained 21 seats.
Biden allegedly won the election with 306 electoral votes, which Keshel called impressive.
So, how did Biden’s party do in the U.S. House races?
They finished with a net loss of 13 seats.
Point 7: There’s another state that is a strong indicator — Florida. Since 1932, Florida’s trajectory has perfectly correlated with the trajectory of Pennsylvania and Michigan.
The graph below shows the gain or loss in votes from the previous election by state. As you can see, Florida follows Michigan and Pennsylvania almost always. There’s actually a strong correlation between Florida and other midwest states.
Trump received over one million more votes in 2020 than he did in 2016 from Florida. He gained ground in Florida. Yet according to the results, that didn’t happen in Pennsylvania or Michigan or Wisconsin.
Point 8: President Trump enjoyed record vote increases in states he won in 2016. It was a historic performance in battleground states — for the most part.
In Maricopa County (Arizona), Trump gained 240,000 votes in 2020. That’s considerably higher than Bush’s gain of nearly 200,000 in 2004 and much higher than Obama’s gain in 2008 and Hillary Clinton’s gain in 2016.
Despite Trump’s strong gains in Maricopa County, Biden reportedly gained 338,000 new votes to win Arizona by 10,000 votes.
“If you can’t put it into words, this is why there’s an audit in Maricopa County,” Keshel said.
Georgia is another state of strong concern. Keshel highlighted five Georgia counties that are suburban. Here are the GOP percent of vote gains since 2008 in those counties.
Keshel said in a year with a record gain of 373,000 votes statewide for Trump — with these counties giving Trump a gain of 21-24 percent — it’s hard to believe Republicans lost the state.
“These are the so-called suburban women who abandoned Trump,” Keshel said.
Despite Trump’s gains in votes, all the counties resulted in a 7-14 percentage point drop in Trump’s victory because Biden somehow increased his vote share significantly. Trump still won the counties, but the margins were much smaller than the number would suggest.
Keshel then revealed the vote gains for Biden in Democrat strongholds across the country. As you can see, they were modest gains.
But now, look at the gains Biden had in Democrat strongholds in Georgia.
While Trump won Texas, Keshel said he believes there should be an audit there as well. He highlighted a handful of counties of concern.
You can see in the graphic below the percent of vote gain by President Trump in certain Texas GOP strongholds.
In Harris County, the 2016 dip is explained by a rift between supporters of Ted Cruz and the Trump campaign.
Tarrant County hasn’t produced GOP gains since Bush in 2004. Yet Trump lost Tarrant County — giving the Republicans their first loss in the county since 1964. Biden’s vote gain was twice the previous record.
In Collin County, there were GOP gains of six, six and two percent in the previous three elections. Trump gained 26 percent. Typically Republicans win that county by 15-21 points. Trump won it by four.
“So now you see why people aren’t crazy for expecting Texas to be audited,” Keshel said.
Point 9: President Trump experienced record gains among minority voters. He received the greatest GOP share of non-white votes since 1960.
Point 10: Post-election behavior by politicians and media allies. Keshel said at 4 p.m. on Election Day, Minnesota AG Keith Ellison put out a tweet begging people to go to vote because they did not have the votes. Minnesota was called shortly after polls closed and Biden reportedly won comfortably.
Since the election, Keshel said Democrats have attempted to stifle any sort of questioning of the election results.
He asked why Democrats are avoiding audits. He noted Biden is from Pennsylvania and won the state by 80,000 votes.
“He’s in Pennsylvania urging people not to audit the state,” he said.
Why would he do that if he were confident that he won the election, Keshel asked.
“Eighty thousand votes should stand up,” he said. “Put the cards on the table.
“It’s a very difficult thing to look at these numbers and not question what has happened the past nine months. This is not conspiracy talk. Go check these numbers.”
